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Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Producer Prices Surge 1.2% in July
Associated Press
Wholesale inflation surged in July, leaving prices for the past year rising at the fastest pace in 27 years, according to government data released Tuesday.
The Labor Department reported that wholesale prices shot up 1.2% in July, pushed higher by rising costs for energy, motor vehicles and other products. The increase was more than twice the 0.5% gain that economists expected.
Core prices, which exclude food and energy, rose 0.7%. That increase was the biggest since November 2006 and more than triple the 0.2% rise in core prices that had been expected.
In other economic news, the Commerce Department reported that housing construction fell in July to the lowest pace in more than 17 years. Builders broke ground on 965,000 housing units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate last month -- the weakest showing since March 1991 -- as the housing industry continues to struggle with falling sales and rising mortgage foreclosures.
The bad news on wholesale prices followed a report last week that consumer prices shot up by 0.8% in July, leaving consumer inflation rising at the fastest pace in 27 years.
The July price pressures reflected in part the big surge in energy costs during the month that pushed crude oil prices to a record of $147.27 per barrel and sent gasoline pump prices to an all-time high of $4.11 per gallon.
Crude oil prices have fallen by more than $30 per barrel since then, raising hopes that the surge in inflation will soon abate. However, the price spikes in a number of areas seen in July raised concerns that the prolonged surge in energy prices was beginning to show up more broadly throughout the economy.
Such a development would put the Federal Reserve in a severe bind. The central bank would like to keep interest rates low to give a boost to the badly lagging economy, but Fed officials may feel pressured to start raising rates in an effort to make sure inflation does not get out of control.
For July, wholesale energy prices jumped by 3.1% following a 6% gain in June. That increase reflected big jumps in the price of natural gas, home heating oil and liquefied petroleum gas, which offset a 0.2% dip in gasoline costs.
Food prices rose by 0.3% in July after a 1.5% surge in June. Beef prices jumped by 7.4%, the biggest increase in nearly four years. Milk prices shot up by 5%, the biggest gain in a year, while soft drink prices rose by 2.4%, the largest increase in four years.
Excluding energy and food, the 0.7 % rise in core inflation reflected big gains in the prices of passenger cars and light trucks, pharmaceutical preparations and plastic products.
FOX Translator
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No, it's not a dance craze. Contago is a condition of supply and demand, essentially a fancy word to say that prices for items, typically commodities, are cheaper now than they would be at some point down the line.
Anything that¿s sold in the futures market can be in a case of contango. Futures are exactly that: a contract to buy an item or asset at a price in the future. This is the case with oil, with traders buying and selling contracts to acquire a barrel of oil in months down the line. When a market is in contango, spot prices, or the price of a commodity if you were to buy it right now, are lower than forward prices.
Why is that important? Well, it usually tells you the supply of a given commodity is plentiful (since, according to Economics 101, a large supply usually leads to cheap prices).
Incidentally, if you think contango is a mouthful, its opposite condition is known by the equally tongue-tying term backwardation.






